Methodology

How these reports are counted

Version 2026-09-20

Counting rules

  • Each prediction is evaluated once at a declared horizon.
  • Risk modes are reported separately. The headline is sample-weighted, not the best mode.
  • Training or validation accuracy is shown only when a labelled holdout set exists. Otherwise it is “Not available”.
  • Trades are paired BUY then SELL on the same symbol. Fees are subtracted from ROI.
  • Reports that fail sample or quality gates stay in Historical with a label. Poor performance is not a deletion rule.

Publication gate

A current Insights, AI Assistant, or Trading report needs at least 30 scored observations, valid timestamps, and required fields. Historical pages can be smaller; they are labelled.

Limitations

  • Overlapping windows are labelled; they are not independent samples.
  • Dataset B (quality score 0) is excluded from trading headlines.
  • Fees, pairing rules, and the 15-minute evaluation horizon are disclosed on each generated page.

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