Telegram Signals

September 2026 futures path vs spot HODL

6–21 September 2026. Futures, both long and short.

The futures lines compound each posted day once, starting at 100 on 6 September. Telegram rows are overlapping last-40 windows, so this is not an account balance. The thin lines are unlevered spot HODL. Not investment advice.

Where the index finished

Futures 20% plan

+103.5%

Published signals

+88.0%

BTC HODL

+7.8%

ETH HODL

+10.4%

Virtual futures index against BTC, ETH, and 50/50 spot HODL, 6-21 September 2026

A 50/50 spot hold, half the starting stake in BTC and half in ETH with no rebalance, finished at +9.1%.

What each line is

Line	Kind	21 Sep index	Change
Futures 20% plan	Virtual. Channel recap, each day once	203.5	+103.5%
Published signals	Virtual. Mean scale P&L from 13 Sep	188.0	+88.0%
BTC HODL	Spot close, unlevered	107.8	+7.8%
ETH HODL	Spot close, unlevered	110.4	+10.4%
50/50 HODL	Half BTC, half ETH, no rebalance	109.1	+9.1%

The 20% plan is the futures recap posted on t.me/cryptocrispy_ai and copied on the 7–21 September recap. That table has a leverage column around 13x, so the book is futures, not a spot hold. It takes both sides: the published September table has 173 Buy rows and 25 Sell rows.

The blue line uses the mean scale P&L of published signals on each calendar day. Those rows start on 13 September, so the line is 100 on 12 September and then compounds. Days with no numeric scale P&L are left blank. This is not the 6.64% scale-out figure and not the 83.08% take-profit vs stop-loss rate. Those stay on published signal outcomes.

Spot baselines are Kraken daily closes, XBTUSD and XETHZUSD. The 6 September close is 100. BTC finished the window at 86,593.8 from 80,334.3. ETH finished at 2,775.84 from 2,514.35.

What this page does not claim

Compounding overlapping last-40 windows is a virtual path. It is not a live-account NAV, not a Sharpe, and not the April 2022–April 2024 backtest. The 24 August book printed BTC +6.2% on 21 September over about 28 days. That print is a different window from the 6–21 September HODL line on this chart.

Methodology

Futures days and the 20% plan come from the September Telegram recap. Published scale P&L comes from the September signal table. Spot closes are public Kraken daily candles. See the methodology page.