Methodology of Accuracy Assessment
The accuracy assessment method involved evaluating the impact of signals created by our AI within the subsequent 3-hour timeframe. For instance, if the AI recommended buying, the research team checked how many time steps within the next 3 hours the signal resulted in a higher price compared to the current price. This process allowed for the calculation of accuracy specific to that time interval.
To ensure a more reliable estimation, the assessment was conducted multiple times to reduce the impact of randomness. The research team repeated the evaluation process several times, gathering more data points, and then averaged all the obtained accuracies to calculate a more precise overall accuracy.
This assessment was carried out for all coins and across three levels of risk appetite. Additionally, the research team examined the signal resources most frequently suggested by the AI. It was observed that our system often received signals for a particular coin from the AI, possibly due to higher confidence in those signals. Alternatively, the AI may have prioritized signals from social resources for certain coins, as they showed a higher correlation with the movement of those specific coins.
The test period for this assessment was from 5th July to 7th July, during which the described methodology was applied to analyze the accuracy and signal re-source preferences of the AI.
Overall Accuracy
Based on the research conducted in July 2023, the average accuracy of the AI among different user risk profiles for various coins was as follows:
-For Cautious users, the average accuracy of the Signals among all
coins was 60.41%.
- For Balanced users, the average accuracy of the Signals among all
coins was 64.98%.
- For Adventurous users, the average accuracy of the Signals among
all coins was 59.98%.
Detailed Accuracy Assessment
The detailed accuracy assessment for different coins and user risk profiles is as follows:
| Coin | Risk App | Accuracy | Attended Features |
|---|---|---|---|
| ADA | Cautious | 73.77% | Mostly attended Technical Indicators |
| ADA | Balanced | 73.35% | Mostly attended On-chain features |
| ADA | Adventurous | 72.39% | The price predictions were well |
| BNB | Cautious | 62.35% | Mostly attended Technical Indicators |
| BNB | Balanced | 64.11% | Mostly attended Technical Indicators |
| BNB | Adventurous | 63.28% | Mostly attended Technical Indicators |
| BTC | Cautious | 66.67% | Mostly attended On-chain features |
| BTC | Balanced | 68.33% | Mostly attended On-chain features |
| BTC | Adventurous | 65.56% | Mostly attended On-chain features |
| DOGE | Cautious | 58.10% | Mostly attended Technical Indicators |
| DOGE | Balanced | 58.70% | Mostly attended Technical Indicators |
| DOGE | Adventurous | 63.16% | The coin behavior was based on social news |
| ETH | Cautious | 52.76% | Mostly attended Technical Indicators |
| ETH | Balanced | 88.89% | The price predictions were well |
| ETH | Adventurous | 54.65% | Mostly attended Technical Indicators |
| LTC | Cautious | 54.84% | Mostly attended Technical Indicators |
| LTC | Balanced | 72.74% | The price predictions were well |
| LTC | Adventurous | 55.78% | Mostly attended Technical Indicators |
| MATIC | Cautious | 55.40% | The coin behavior was based on social news |
| MATIC | Balanced | 53.95% | Mostly attended On-chain features |
| MATIC | Adventurous | 58.21% | Mostly attended On-chain features |
| SOL | Cautious | 57.97% | Mostly attended Technical Indicators |
| SOL | Balanced | 57.71% | Mostly attended Technical Indicators |
| SOL | Adventurous | 60.84% | The price predictions were well |
| XRP | Cautious | 77.78% | The price predictions were well |
| XRP | Balanced | 67.59% | The coin behavior was based on social news |
| XRP | Adventurous | 59.85% | The coin behavior was based on social news |
| TRX | Cautious | 44.44% | Mostly attended On-chain features |
| TRX | Balanced | 44.44% | Mostly attended On-chain features |
| TRX | Adventurous | 46.03% | Mostly attended On-chain features |
Market terms used here
CryptoCrispy reports score cryptocurrency trading signals on USDT spot pairs — Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and altcoins such as SOL, XRP, BNB, and RENDER. Published Telegram buy/sell alerts are counted separately from in-app AI Assistant suggestions.
- Take-profit (TP1–TP5) — staged profit targets on a long or short. A target hit counts only after the signal is decided.
- Stop-loss (SL) — risk exit. A stop is a loss, not a timeout.
- Hit rate / TP vs SL — wins among decided signals. Open or no-result (NR) rows are not wins.
- AI Assistant — in-app long/short suggestions. Modes: default mix, technical analysis, social sentiment, and AI/on-chain data.
- Telegram Official Signals — published channel alerts, often a rolling last-40 window.
- Core vs tactical — investor-book split: persistent hold versus a smaller rotating sleeve.
- ROI — return after pairing BUY then SELL on the same symbol, fees subtracted, on trading pages.
- Risk appetite — separate risk modes; the headline is sample-weighted, not the best bucket.
See how these numbers are counted and the crypto trading reports library.